Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.002731 0.002921 0.003125 0.003364 0.003638 0.003945 0.004319
2024-12-29 0.002483 0.002745 0.003046 0.003423 0.003894 0.004475 0.005270
2025-01-05 0.002257 0.002549 0.002899 0.003360 0.003973 0.004790 0.006030
2025-01-12 0.002064 0.002365 0.002736 0.003244 0.003950 0.004950 0.006605
2025-01-19 0.001954 0.002269 0.002668 0.003233 0.004055 0.005298 0.007569
2025-01-26 0.001786 0.002085 0.002469 0.003019 0.003837 0.005109 0.007546
2025-02-02 0.001727 0.002038 0.002445 0.003045 0.003972 0.005501 0.008745
2025-02-09 0.001700 0.002029 0.002469 0.003139 0.004224 0.006148 0.010829
2025-02-16 0.001651 0.001986 0.002442 0.003153 0.004345 0.006585 0.012735
2025-02-23 0.001637 0.001990 0.002481 0.003269 0.004657 0.007491 0.016987
2025-03-02 0.001579 0.001928 0.002419 0.003219 0.004661 0.007737 0.019300
2025-03-09 0.001522 0.001866 0.002353 0.003157 0.004633 0.007899 0.021567
2025-03-16 0.001497 0.001851 0.002361 0.003224 0.004883 0.008886 0.031520
2025-03-23 0.001471 0.001832 0.002362 0.003284 0.005132 0.010031 0.052508
2025-03-30 0.001420 0.001776 0.002301 0.003227 0.005126 0.010419 0.073095
2025-04-06 0.001361 0.001705 0.002216 0.003119 0.004993 0.010341 0.086297
2025-04-13 0.001328 0.001671 0.002185 0.003109 0.005079 0.011084 0.184391
2025-04-20 0.001257 0.001578 0.002056 0.002910 0.004703 0.009985 0.109926
2025-04-27 0.001237 0.001561 0.002048 0.002933 0.004853 0.010964 0.435478
2025-05-04 0.001231 0.001564 0.002074 0.003022 0.005177 0.012940 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001211 0.001545 0.002061 0.003035 0.005316 0.014258 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001209 0.001554 0.002095 0.003143 0.005732 0.017751 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001180 0.001520 0.002054 0.003097 0.005709 0.018443 NaN